Wednesday, October 3, 2018

No. 7 - Tim Duncan

There really isn’t a great highlight video on Youtube of Tim Duncan. There’s no slam dunk contest victories or busted ankles from crossovers or jump back 3-pointers. Even his nickname is boring, “The Big Fundamentals.”

The closest thing Duncan had to a signature move was the faceup bank shot and that thing where if a defender had his hand in Duncan’s chest he would bring his arms up to shoot and draw the foul
No. Instead of power or flash, Duncan just beat you down with footwork and basketball knowledge, and it led to 19 years of relentless winning basketball.
Tim Duncan’s Spurs won 72 percent of the regular season games he played in over his career and 62 percent of his games in 18 trips to the postseason. He played in six NBA Finals, first with players such as David Robinson and Sean Elliott and then later with Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili. He was all-NBA 15 times, spanning multiple eras. In 1997-1998, he was all-NBA with Michael Jordan and Karl Malone. In 2006-2007, he was all-NBA with Kobe Bryant and Dirk Nowitzki. In 2012-2013, he was all-NBA with LeBron James and Kevin Durant. He got MVP votes in 16 seasons. Duncan won 1,158 games in the regular season and the playoffs. Charles Barkley played in 1,196.
Duncan was blessed with a coach who protected his long-term health. In 2001-2002, Duncan averaged 40.6 minutes per game at the age of 25. By the age of 30, he was averaging 34.1 minutes per game. By 35, it was down to 28.2. That hurt his career per-game averages. Duncan never led the league in any traditional stat – points, rebounds, blocks, assists per game. His value becomes more apparent in the advanced stats. He had a PER over 21.0 in 18 of his 19 seasons, and that included four seasons above 25.0. He had 12 seasons above 10.0 win shares, including leading the league twice. He led the league in VORP and Box +/- once each. He is sixth all-time in career VORP.
Then there’s the playoffs where Duncan was one of the rare players who consistently upped his play against the best competition.
Tim Duncan regular season vs. playoffs
PER
Box +/-
Year
Season
Playoffs
Season
Playoffs
1997-1998
22.6
20.4
5.5
3.9
1998-1999
23.2
25.1
4.9
7.5
2000-2001
23.8
25.4
5.4
7.6
2001-2002
27.0
31.8
7.6
10.4
2002-2003
26.9
28.4
7.4
11.6
2003-2004
27.1
24.1
7.3
5.7
2004-2005
27.0
24.9
6.4
4.1
2005-2006
23.1
30.4
4.6
7.5
2006-2007
26.1
27.4
7.1
7.2
2007-2008
24.4
21.9
4.7
3.7
2008-2009
24.4
27.3
4.6
4.7
2009-2010
24.7
19.7
5.6
1.9
2010-2011
21.9
15.5
3.8
0.8
2011-2012
22.5
22.9
2.4
4.5
2012-2013
24.4
21.3
4.1
2.1
2013-2014
21.3
21.1
3.2
4.4
2014-2015
22.6
24.2
5.5
7.7
2015-2016
16.9
11.6
4.1
1.0

Duncan led the NBA in playoff PER twice, win shares twice, Box +/- twice and VORP twice. He was NBA Finals MVP three times.
For anyone who wants to argue that he was more of a compiler than a dominator, look at his 2002-2003 season. He was third in the NBA in PER behind Tracy McGrady and Shaquille O’Neal. He led the league in win shares over Dirk Nowitzki and McGrady. He was third in Box +/- behind McGrady and Garnett and third behind those two in VORP. In the playoffs, he was second in PER to O’Neal, and first in win shares, Box +/- and VORP. His Spurs went 60-21 with him in the lineup in the regular season and 16-8 in the playoffs. Along the way, San Antonio ousted Shaq and Kobe’s Lakers, Nowitzki’s Mavericks and Jason Kidd’s Nets.
That’s a pretty good peak.
Tim Duncan bio info
Career
1997-2016
Games
1,392
Points
19.0
Rebounds
10.8
Assists
3.0
FG Pct.
50.6%
All-Star games
15
NBA MVPs
2
NBA titles
5
Playoff seasons
18
Playoff games
251
Points
20.6
Rebounds
11.4
Assists
3.0
FG Pct.
50.1%
Hall of Fame
Top 100 rankings
Points
Top 100 ranking
1-year
445.70
11th
5-year
1,997.30
8th
10-year
3,589.50
9th
Career
5,763.95
2nd
               
Tim Duncan at his peak
2002-2003
Duncan
Top 5
Points
PER
26.9
27.85
Win Shares
16.5
15.84
Box +/-
7.4
7.86
VORP
7.6
7.83
Total Advanced Stats
58.4
59.38
98.36
Playoff PER
28.4
26.93
Win Shares
5.9
3.33
Box +/-
11.6
8.70
VORP
3.5
1.87
Total Advanced Stats
49.4
40.83
120.98
Reg. Season Win %
74.07
74.07
Playoff Win %
66.67
66.67
MVP Voting (75 points)
962/1,180
60.63
Playoff MVP (25 points)
25.0
25.00
Total Score
445.70
               
Duncan’s 10 greatest seasons
2002-2003
445.70
1998-1999
418.36
2001-2002
403.01
2006-2007
365.65
2003-2004
364.58
2004-2005
359.62
2000-2001
350.79
2005-2006
306.06
2011-2012
290.17
2012-2013
280.66
Career winning percentage
W
L
Pct.
Regular Season
1,001
391
71.91%
Playoffs
157
98
61.57%
                                                                                                                                         

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