Wednesday, September 5, 2018

No. 31 - Manu Ginobili

Manu Ginobili is a player where the advanced stats tell a far different story than the traditional per-game statistics.
The Argentinian didn’t come to the NBA until he was 25. Spurs coach Greg Popovich didn’t make him a full-time starter until he was 27, and right away Popovich began restricting his minutes to prolong Ginobili’s career. He only averaged more than 30 minutes per game twice in 16 seasons and didn’t average more than 24 minutes in any of his final seven seasons.
Because of the Spurs’ philosophy on playing time, Ginobili never averaged more than 19.5 points, 4.8 rebounds or 4.9 assists in any of his regular seasons. His career marks of 13.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game hardly scream NBA Top 40. He made only two all-star teams and got just a handful of MVP votes in just three seasons.
His advanced stats are far more positive. He topped 20.0 PER in nine regular seasons and was above 24.0 PER in three. The limited minutes cut into his win shares, but he still had six of over 9.0. His career Box +/- of 4.95 ranks 21st all-time. He’s ahead of Hakeem Olajuwon (22nd), Dwyane Wade (24th) and Scottie Pippen (25th) to name a few. His career VORP ranks 36th, immediately ahead of Moses Malone.
The kid gloves came off in the playoffs and you got a better picture of Ginobili’s worth. Twice he led the NBA in steals in the playoffs. He averaged more than 20 points per game twice. His strongest run was the 2004-2005 title season when he averaged 20.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, 4.2 assists and 1.2 steals in 33.6 minutes per game as the Spurs won 16 of 23 postseason games.
Then we get to his career winning percentages. Ginobili was fortunate to play almost his entire career on the Tim Duncan Spurs. He played in five NBA Finals, winning four. The only season he didn’t play in the playoffs was 2008-2009 when he was injured. The Spurs won 72.1 percent of the regular season games Ginobili played in. Of the 69 players named to this list so far, only Kawhi Leonard and Tom Heinsohn had better winning percentages. The Spurs won 61.9 percent of the playoff games he played in. So far, only John Havlicek, Sam Jones, Stephy Curry, Horace Grant, George Mikan, Isiah Thomas, Leonard, Tom Heinsohn, James Worthy, Robert Horry, Bill Walton and Dennis Rodman did better.

And, of course, he popularized the “Euro step.”

Add all those up and you have a player just outside the Top 30.
Manu Ginobili bio info
Career
2002-2018
Games
1,057
Points
13.3
Rebounds
3.5
Assists
3.8
FG Pct.
44.7%
All-Star games
2
NBA MVPs
0
NBA titles
4
Playoff seasons
15
Playoff games
218
Points
14.0
Rebounds
4.0
Assists
3.8
FG Pct.
43.3%
Hall of Fame
Top 100 rankings
Points
Top 100 ranking
1-year
321.59
62nd
5-year
1,480.84
41st
10-year
2,783.24
31st
Career
3,932.38
23rd
               
Manu Ginobili at his peak
2006-2007
Ginobili
Top 5
Points
PER
24.1
27.02
Win Shares
10.6
13.74
Box +/-
7.2
7.36
VORP
4.8
6.24
Total Advanced Stats
46.7
54.36
85.91
Playoff PER
21.9
26.90
Win Shares
2.6
2.90
Box +/-
6.3
8.22
VORP
1.3
1.60
Total Advanced Stats
32.1
39.62
81.02
Reg. Season Win %
74.67
74.67
Playoff Win %
80.00
80.00
MVP Voting (75 points)
0
0
Playoff MVP (25 points)
0
0
Total Score
321.59
               
Ginobili’s 10 greatest seasons
2006-2007
321.59
2004-2005
318.73
2003-2004
283.74
2011-2012
279.79
2013-2014
276.99
2010-2011
270.59
2005-2006
267.90
2007-2008
263.40
2012-2013
253.20
2009-2010
247.31
Career winning percentage
W
L
Pct.
Regular Season
762
295
72.09%
Playoffs
135
83
61.93%
                                                                                                                                         

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