Monday, September 24, 2018

No. 14 - David Robinson

David Robinson has Tim Duncan to thank for helping take him out of the Karl Malone conversation.
The No. 14 player on my system was an absolute regular season monster. 
·         He led the NBA three times in PER, including being just one of 10 players to ever top 30.0 in a season. His career PER of 26.18 is No. 4 all time, behind just Michael Jordan, LeBron James and Shaquille O’Neal.
·         He led the NBA in win shares twice, including being just one of seven players to get to 20.0 win shares in a season (Robinson recorded a 19.98 in 1993-1994, which is rounded up to 20.0). His career win shares ranks 15th despite the fact he came into the league at 24 and played only 14 seasons.
·         He led the league in VORP three times, including being just one of eight players to record a 10.0 or better in a season. He ranks No. 8 all time in career VORP.
·         He dominated Box +/-, leading the league six times, including being one of 10 to ever top 10.0 or better in a season. He ranks No. 5 all time in career Box +/-.
If you look at just his regular season advanced stats, he was clearly the second best player of the Michael Jordan era. But then there was the playoffs. Playoff David Robinson was still great … but he was not the same dominant force.
Robinson season vs. playoffs
PER
Box +/-
Year
Season
Playoffs
Season
Playoffs
1989-1990
26.3
24.4
6.5
7.0
1990-1991
27.4
26.1
8.4
7.1
1992-1993
24.2
21.6
6.7
6.8
1993-1994
30.7
22.0
10.9
4.4
1994-1995
29.1
22.6
8.4
6.7
1995-1996
29.4
29.1
9.2
6.3
1997-1998
27.8
24.1
7.8
6.2
1998-1999
24.9
23.3
7.4
7.9
1999-2000
24.6
25.6
5.5
9.0
2000-2001
23.7
24.5
5.5
5.4
2001-2002
20.3
12.6
3.9
1.8
2002-2003
17.8
17.7
1.7
4.1

Through 1996-1997, Robinson’s Spurs had been to the playoffs six times in eight seasons. Twice, his teams lost in the first round. That included the 1993-1994 season when he had one of the greatest regular seasons in history. That year he topped 30.0 in PER, 20.0 in win shares and 10.0 in Box +/- and VORP. In the playoffs against the Jazz, he averaged “just” 20.0 points, 10 rebounds and shot just 30 of 73.
The next season had to be even more disappointing. Robinson won his only MVP in 1994-1995 as the Spurs went 62-20. San Antonio swept Denver and beat the Lakers in six to advance to take on the defending NBA champion Houston Rockets in the Western Conference Finals. It’s not as if Robinson was terrible in the series. He averaged 23.8 points, 11.3 rebounds and 2.1 blocks in six games. Unfortunately, Hakeem Olajuwon had perhaps the stretch of games of his career. Olajuwon had games of 41, 43 and 42 on the way to averaging 35.3 points, 12.5 rebounds and 4.2 blocks. The Rockets won the series, 4-2, and then swept the Orlando Magic, cementing Olajuwon’s reputation as the No. 2 player of the Jordan era.
In 1996, the Spurs again came up short, falling to Karl Malone’s Jazz in six games. Robinson was held to 19.3 points and 9.0 rebounds in the series.
In the 1996-1997 season, Robinson hurt his back six games into the season and didn’t play again that year. The Spurs tanked without him, putting them in the lottery. The ping pong balls came up San Antonio and the Spurs won the rights to draft Tim Duncan.
To that point in his career, Duncan’s Spurs had gone 27-26 in the playoffs. With Duncan and Robinson together, the Spurs would go 43-27 over his final six playoff runs, including winning the NBA title in 1998-1999 and 2002-2003. Robinson ended up being a big winner, but he was a bigger winner when he wasn’t the No. 1 option.
David Robinson bio info
Career
1989-2003
Games
987
Points
21.1
Rebounds
10.6
Assists
2.5
FG Pct.
51.8%
All-Star games
10
NBA MVPs
1
NBA titles
2
Playoff seasons
12
Playoff games
123
Points
18.1
Rebounds
10.6
Assists
2.3
FG Pct.
47.9%
Hall of Fame
2009
Top 100 rankings
Points
Top 100 ranking
1-year
400.98
18th
5-year
1,771.82
15th
10-year
3,219.79
15th
Career
3,970.13
22nd
               
David Robinson at his peak
1994-1995
Robinson
Top 5
Points
PER
29.1
26.79
Win Shares
17.5
14.44
Box +/-
8.4
6.98
VORP
8.1
6.67
Total Advanced Stats
63.1
54.87
114.99
Playoff PER
22.6
26.70
Win Shares
2.3
2.77
Box +/-
6.7
7.20
VORP
1.4
1.56
Total Advanced Stats
33.0
38.23
86.23
Reg. Season Win %
75.31
75.31
Playoff Win %
60.00
60.00
MVP Voting (75 points)
901/1,050
64.36
Playoff MVP (25 points)
0
0
Total Score
400.98
               
Robinson’s 10 greatest seasons
1994-1995
400.98
1995-1996
365.33
1998-1999
349.52
1993-1994
343.49
1990-1991
312.49
1989-1990
308.67
1997-1998
303.49
2000-2001
294.94
1992-1993
275.23
1999-2000
265.63
Career winning percentage
W
L
Pct.
Regular Season
673
314
68.19%
Playoffs
70
53
56.91%
                                                                                                                                         

3 comments:

  1. Even in regular season, David Thompson wasn't "clearly" the second best player of Jordan era in advanced stats. Charles Barkley better in both VORP and box+/- and just one behind in Win Shares.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Yes. He was clearly better.
    Robinson's regular season advanced scores:
    1993-1994: 125.77
    1994-1995: 114.99
    1995-1996: 111.56
    1991-1992: 105.12
    1997-1998: 104.67
    1990-1991: 100.03
    Barkley's best:
    1987-1988: 103.13
    1989-1990: 102.98
    1988-1989: 101.66
    1990-1991: 97.89
    1992-1993: 96.90
    1985-1986: 95.91

    ReplyDelete
  3. Robinson had five regular seasons better than Barkley's best - and that's before you factor in winning percentages.

    ReplyDelete