Sunday, July 8, 2018

No. 87 - Derrick Rose

It’s been so long that Derrick Rose was a top tier NBA player that I went to Youtube and watched clips from his 2010-2011 MVP season to remind myself how good he once was.
For two seasons, Rose was at the top of the NBA – not quite LeBron James, but good enough for Bulls fans to dream of NBA titles – then he blew out his ACL with 1:22 left in the first game of the 2012 playoffs. That turned out to be it for Rose and those Bulls. He’s played in parts of five seasons since, but he’s never come close to the level he hit in 2010-2011 when at age 22 he became the youngest MVP in NBA history (Spencer Haywood was younger, but his MVP was in the ABA).

That Rose had a PER of 23.5, 13.1 in win shares, a Box +/- of 5.9 and a VORP of 6.0. After the injury, Rose’s highest PER was 17.0, win shares has never topped 3.0, he’s been a negative +/- every season and a negative VORP in three of the five years. The Bulls moved on after 2015-2016 and he’s played for three franchises since.
When his career is finished, he’ll be an interesting case for the basketball Hall of Fame. Every eligible NBA MVP has been inducted, even the equally fragile Bill Walton. If you talk about Peak value, in my system, Rose is the 25th best player in NBA history when it comes to best single year. If you’re talking about an entire career, Rose’s career win shares puts him in a class with the likes of Dana Barros, Brandon Roy and Doug Collins.
In my system, he finished so high in that category that it’ll be a long time before he gets knocked out of the top 100 because a 380 point season is extremely hard to get.
Derrick Rose bio info
Career
2008-2018
Games
495
Points
18.9
Rebounds
3.6
Assists
5.7
FG Pct.
45.1%
All-Star Games
3
MVPs
1
NBA Titles
0
Playoff seasons
6
Playoff games
46
Points
22.7
Rebounds
4.5
Assists
6.6
FG Pct.
42.3%
Hall of Fame

Top 100 rankings

Points
Top 100 ranking
1-year
380.11
25th
5-year
1,237.11
Not in top 100
10-year
1,552.30
Not in top 100
Career
1,552.30
Not in top 100

Derrick Rose at his peak
2010-2011
Rose
Top 5
Points
PER
23.5
25.42

Win Shares
13.1
14.34
Box +/-
5.9
6.42

VORP
6.0
6.30

Total Advanced Stats
48.5
52.48
92.42
Playoff PER
22.5
26.12

Win Shares
2.2
3.42

Box +/-
5.9
7.88

VORP
1.3
1.66

Total Advanced Stats
31.9
39.08
81.63
Reg. Season Win %
76.54

76.54
Playoff Win %
56.25

56.25
MVP Voting (75 points)
(1,182/1,210)

73.26
Finals MVP (25 points)
0
0
Total Score


380.11

Rose’s 10 greatest seasons
2010-2011
380.11
2011-2012
340.63
2014-2015
192.89
2009-2010
169.58
2008-2009
153.91
2017-2018
122.83
2016-2017
70.41
2015-2016
64.75
2013-2014
57.20



Career winning percentage

W
L
Pct.
Regular Season
286
209
57.78%
Playoffs
21
25
45.65%
                                                                                                                                         

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