Sunday, September 30, 2018

No. 9 - Julius Erving

Dr. J – easily one of the greatest nicknames in sports.
The epitome of cool. People dunked before but Julius Erving, perhaps still more than any other player, made it a weapon. He won the first slam dunk contest ever held in 1976, in the last year of the ABA – famously becoming the first player to successfully jump and dunk from the free-throw line. And then he did the free-throw line dunk again when the NBA started their own slam dunk contest in 1984 at the age of 33, which is an advanced age for dunkers. The dunk contest is another in a long list of things the NBA stole from the ABA over the years.
The common wisdom now is that Larry Bird and Magic Johnson saved the NBA when they entered the league in 1979. They really were just taking the torch from Dr. J, who instantly became the biggest name in the league when the NBA and ABA finally merged after 1975-1976 season. There were three teams dominating basketball in the early 1980s – Bird’s Celtics, Johnson’s Lakers and Erving’s 76ers. At least one of those three teams played in the NBA Finals every year from 1980 to 1989. The Bird-Dr. J matchups captivated the public as much as Magic-Bird.
As with anything, though, greatness fades with time. Elgin Baylor brought body control and hang time to the NBA. Connie Hawkins took it another step with his huge hands. Dr. J used his ability to just jump over people to fashion on offensive game all his own. Then Michael Jordan took the game above the rim to another level, and LeBron James came along to settle the argument over greatest small forward.
Erving, though, remains a top 10 player because he dominated two leagues and played at a high level for a long time. There are some who discount his ABA years. He won three ABA MVPs and two ABA championships with the New York Nets. His two greatest seasons in my system – both over 400 points – came with the Nets. But Erving would still have been a top 25 player in this system just on his NBA numbers.
He was 26 when the leagues merged, with five pro seasons under his belt. He led Philadelphia to four NBA Finals, winning one. From 1976-1977 to 1982-1983, he scored at least 275 points in my system and scored more than 300 four times. He was league MVP in 1980-1981 when he was 30 years old, beating out Bird, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Moses Malone and George Gervin. Magic finished 11th in the voting. He got MVP votes in eight of his 11 NBA seasons.
As little as you hear about Erving now, he still ranks highly in several advanced stats.
Advanced Stats – career ranking
(regular season)
PER
20th
Win Shares
13th
Box +/-
11th
VORP
9th

Erving appeared in seven ABA/NBA Finals. His first NBA Finals appearance was against Bill Walton and the Portland Trailblazers. That 76ers team featured Erving, George McGinnis, Darryl Dawkins and Lloyd B. Free. It was a collection of stars, while Portland was a pass-and-cut team. For probably the only time in his career, Erving was the black hat. Portland’s win in six games was seen as the triumph of the team over the individual. It was unfair because Erving sacrificed his game to keep the egos together.  
In the final analysis, Erving was one of the biggest winners in pro basketball history. His teams made the playoffs all 16 years that he played. His regular season winning percentage was 65.3 and his playoff winning percentage was 59.8. That ranks as the 24th and 27th best winning percentages of players in the top 100. Here’s where his career playoff advanced stats rank.
Advanced Stats – career ranking
(playoffs)
PER
25th
Win Shares
10th
Box +/-
20th
VORP
11th

I’ve admitted that Dr. J was my first favorite player. The first game I watched on TV was Dr. J in the finals against Bill Walton, dominating in a losing cause. It kills me that in this ranking he finished behind Larry Bird. Still, the Doctor, who can still dunk in his 60s, checks in as the No. 3 small forward in history.
Julius Erving bio info
Career
1971-1987
Games
1,243
Points
24.2
Rebounds
8.5
Assists
4.2
FG Pct.
50.6%
All-Star games
16
NBA/ABA MVPs
4
NBA/ABA titles
3
Playoff seasons
16
Playoff games
189
Points
24.2
Rebounds
8.5
Assists
4.4
FG Pct.
49.6%
Hall of Fame
1993

Top 100 rankings

Points
Top 100 ranking
1-year
451.01
10th
5-year
1,939.29
10th
10-year
3,445.40
10th
Career
4,892.53
7th
               
Julius Erving at his peak
1975-1976
Erving
Top 5
Points
PER
28.7
25.49

Win Shares
17.7
15.04
Box +/-
10.4
8.02

VORP
10.1
7.64

Total Advanced Stats
66.9
56.20
119.05
Playoff PER
32.0
25.36

Win Shares
3.7
2.55

Box +/-
12.5
7.69

VORP
1.6
1.26

Total Advanced Stats
49.8
36.86
135.11
Reg. Season Win %
65.48
65.48
Playoff Win %
61.54
61.54
MVP Voting (75 points)
32/35
68.57
Playoff MVP (25 points)
25.0
25.00
Total Score (x 95%)


451.01
               
Erving’s 10 greatest seasons
1975-1976
451.01
1973-1974
411.24
1980-1981
368.72
1981-1982
360.61
1979-1980
347.71
1982-1983
336.23
1971-1972
307.63
1976-1977
298.46
1977-1978
287.71
1978-1979
276.25

Career winning percentage

W
L
Pct.
Regular Season
815
434
65.25%
Playoffs
113
76
59.79%
                                                                                                                                         

2 comments:

  1. Before Dr. J, my two favorite players were John Havlicek (the first NBA game I can remember watching was Havlicek with one arm taking the Celtics to 7 games against the Knicks) and Dave Cowens. I immediately switched from the Celtics to the 76ers as my favorite team when Dr. J joined the league. ... That said, Dr. J wasn't even better than Charles Barkley. ... Neither was Larry Bird, by the way. ... Take out the team winning percentages, where Bird and Dr. J were surrounded by so much more talent, and Barkley tops those two in any statistical analysis. ... Bird's biggest problem was he was a gunner. One of the greatest shooters ever shot less than 50 percent for his career mostly because he took too many shots he shouldn't have, especially since he was also a great passer and always had four great options to pass to.

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  2. Actually, Bird and Dr. J are better than Barkley before winning percentages. Bird had four years better than Barkley's best and Dr. J had five - and this is based on stats not opinion.

    Bird's five greatest seasons in my system before winning and MVP:
    1983-1984: 224.98
    1985-1986: 222.36
    1984-1985: 206.14
    1982-1983: 193.55
    1986-1987: 190.09

    Dr.J's five best before MVP and winning:
    1975-1976: 254.16
    1981-1982: 211.04
    1971-1972: 206.62
    1973-1974: 201.01
    1979-1980: 198.56

    Barkley's five best seasons before winning and MVP:
    1990-1991: 197.79
    1988-1989: 193.46
    1985-1986: 191.17
    1992-1993: 190.26
    1989-1990: 189.81

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