Friday, August 24, 2018

No. 42 - Steph Curry

The only question about Steph Curry’s greatness is how great?
He hasn’t even finished 10 seasons and he’s No. 42 on my list. Will he eventually be top 25? Barring catastrophic injury, yes. Top 20? Yes. Top 15? Maybe. Top 10? Possibly.
Curry already has two seasons above 400 points in my system. Only eight players have ever topped 400 in a season twice. He ranks 13th in peak season rankings and 12th in five-year rankings. He’s already 68th in the 10-year rankings and he’s only completed nine seasons. If he just continues to churn out average – for him seasons – he’ll zoom up both the 10-year and career rankings.
Curry already would be top 40 if not for the ankle injuries that derailed his third year in the NBA and started to crop up again last season. This system leans heavily towards winning so Curry didn’t get much from his first three years when his Warriors didn’t qualify. But Golden State has made four straight NBA Finals, winning three, and seems poised for several more considering its core players, Curry, Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green, get along and don’t appear eager to try to win somewhere else. The team now is a magnet for players who are ring shopping, the latest being DeMarcus Cousins.
So if the ankles hold up, he’s going to approach the numbers of any guard not named Michael Jordan.
If there’s a knock on Curry to this point, it would be that his playoff performance hasn’t quite lived up to his regular season performance. Here are the PERs and Box +/- of Curry’s six playoff years versus the regular season.
Curry regular season vs. postseason

PER
Box +/-
Year
Season
Playoffs
Season
Playoffs
2012-13
21.3
20.5
5.4
5.2
2013-14
24.1
18.8
7.4
3.7
2014-15
28.0
24.5
9.9
8.7
2015-16
31.5
22.3
12.5
6.4
2016-17
24.6
27.1
7.3
10.8
2017-18
28.2
22.3
8.6
7.1

In only one of his six trips to the playoffs, did Curry play better in the playoffs than he did during the regular season. In Golden State’s three NBA title runs, none of the NBA Finals MVPs – which typically goes to the champion’s star player – have gone to Curry. Andre Iguodala won the first and Durant the last two. It’s the lack of the bonus points for those NBA Finals MVPs that could keep him out of my top 10. Considering how stacked Golden State appears to be, Curry will have more chances to fill in that missing part of his resume.
Steph Curry bio info

Career
2009-2018

Games
625

Points
23.1

Rebounds
4.4

Assists
6.8

FG Pct.
47.7%

All-Star games
5

NBA MVPs
2

NBA Titles
3

Playoff seasons
6

Playoff games
90

Points
26.1

Rebounds
5.2

Assists
6.4

FG Pct.
45.2%

Hall of Fame


Top 100 rankings

Points
Top 100 ranking
1-year
433.18
13th
5-year
1,791.52
12th
10-year
2,328.19
68th
Career
2,328.19
100th
               
Steph Curry at his peak
2014-2015
Curry
Top 5
Points
PER
28.0
28.11

Win Shares
15.7
14.97
Box +/-
9.9
8.84

VORP
7.9
7.21

Total Advanced Stats
61.5
59.13
104.01
Playoff PER
24.5
25.80

Win Shares
3.9
2.96

Box +/-
8.7
8.65

VORP
2.2
1.84

Total Advanced Stats
39.3
39.25
100.12
Reg. Season Win %
83.75
83.75
Playoff Win %
76.19
76.19
MVP Voting (75 points)
1,198/1,300
69.12
Playoff MVP (25 points)
0
0
Total Score


433.18
               
Curry’s 10 greatest seasons
2014-2015
433.18
2015-2016
418.88
2016-2017
358.50
2017-2018
322.41
2013-2014
258.54
2012-2013
255.96
2011-2012
104.37
2010-2011
102.33
2009-2010
74.01



Career winning percentage

W
L
Pct.
Regular Season
410
235
63.57%
Playoffs
72
30
70.59%
                                                                                                                                         

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